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  <id>tag:,2008:/1/tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-</id>
  <updated>2008-08-22T19:10:01Z</updated>
  <title>Comments for Bloglines Subscriber Stats Redux</title>
  
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  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283</id>
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    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=1/entry_id=4283" title="Bloglines Subscriber Stats Redux" />
    <published>2004-10-14T17:11:52Z</published>
    <updated>2007-12-16T23:15:35Z</updated>
    <title>Bloglines Subscriber Stats Redux</title>
    <summary>Remember my post 3 months ago that analysed Bloglines subscriber stats? Well I thought I&apos;d review the numbers...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Richard MacManus</name>
      <uri>http://www.readwriteweb.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="Analysis / Strategy" />
    
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      <![CDATA[<p>Remember <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/002039.php">my post 3 months ago</a> that analysed Bloglines subscriber stats? Well I thought I'd review the numbers. You can blame <a href="http://radio.weblogs.com/0110772/">Seb Paquet</a> for this ;-) Why? Because he's just posted something on his weblog for the first time in over 3 months, which got me thinking about how his time away from blogging affected his stats. It turns out his Bloglines subscriber numbers have increased by 25% over the last 3 months, despite him not posting a single new entry! A similar story for Mark Pilgrim, who has all but turned his back on blogging - yet his stats are up 31%.</p>

<p>You'll notice my own stats have increased by 73%, but that's only the rose-tinted view. My subscriber numbers in Bloglines have increased by 58, which may sound good (and it is!) but it's the <b>second-lowest</b> number in this group. So in terms of raw numbers, the rich are getting richer. I'd term myself a working class blogger struggling to lift himself up into the middle classes. ;-)</p>

<p>Some provisos about these stats. The biggie is that some bloggers have a variety of RSS feeds and so the one I am tracking here may not be their primary feed. Or an alternative feed to the one I'm tracking may be the one getting all the new subscribers. So the numbers below are by no means authoritative.</p>

<p>I really wish Bloglines would aggregate all of a person's RSS feeds into 1 combined feed, for subscriber-tracking purposes. Or even better, open up <a href="http://www.bloglines.com/services/api/">their API</a> to tracking subscribers.</p>

<p>There are other provisos - e.g. the number of subscribers says absolutely nothing about the <b>quality</b> of a blog's content. I must stress this, because it's something I always keep in mind when deciding whether to subscribe to someone. i.e. I don't subscribe because they're popular, I subscribe because I want to read their content.</p>

<p>And of course, Bloglines is not the only RSS Aggregator in town (I found out the other day that I have 8 Yahoo! subscribers - you can pick that info up by looking at your server logs).</p>

<p>Bearing in mind then that these stats are not authoritative and <i>may in fact be misleading</i>, there are still some interesting trends. The fact that Seb continued to grow his subscriber base despite not posting during the last 3 months is one of them. And it's also possible the folks with 0-150 Bloglines subscribers are growing at a better rate than those bloggers with 1000-odd subscribers - e.g. myself, Dina, Paolo. One way to counter the 'rich getting richer' theory perhaps? I don't know...</p>

<p>Needless to say, I'd be interested in your comments on these stats.</p>

<h2>Bloglines Subscribers Table, July-Oct 04 (version 2)</h2>
<br />
<table border="1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0">
<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left"><b>Blogger</b></td>
<td align="left"><b>18-Jul-04</b></td>
<td align="left"><b>15-Oct-04</b></td>
<td align="left"><b>Subscribers Gained</b></td>
<td align="left"><b>% change</b></td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Richard MacManus</td>
<td align="left">79</td>
<td align="left">137</td>
<td align="left">58</td>
<td align="left">73.4%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Dina Mehta</td>
<td align="left">134</td>
<td align="left">211</td>
<td align="left">77</td>
<td align="left">57.5%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Talking Points Memo</td>
<td align="left">1964</td>
<td align="left">2841</td>
<td align="left">877</td>
<td align="left">44.7%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Instapundit</td>
<td align="left">1737</td>
<td align="left">2452</td>
<td align="left">715</td>
<td align="left">41.2%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Jon Udell</td>
<td align="left">1619</td>
<td align="left">2257</td>
<td align="left">638</td>
<td align="left">39.4%</td>
</tr>

<tr>
<td align="left">Jason Kottke</td>
<td align="left">2184</td>
<td align="left">2985</td>
<td align="left">801</td>
<td align="left">36.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Lawrence Lessig</td>
<td align="left">2794</td>
<td align="left">3777</td>
<td align="left">983</td>
<td align="left">35.2%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Paolo Valdemarin</td>
<td align="left">149</td>
<td align="left">201</td>
<td align="left">52</td>
<td align="left">34.9%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Mark Pilgrim</td>
<td align="left">2100</td>
<td align="left">2764</td>
<td align="left">664</td>
<td align="left">31.6%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Tim Bray</td>
<td align="left">1517</td>
<td align="left">1989</td>
<td align="left">472</td>
<td align="left">31.1%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Anil Dash</td>
<td align="left">884</td>
<td align="left">1142</td>
<td align="left">258</td>
<td align="left">29.2%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">S&eacute;bastien Paquet</td>
<td align="left">563</td>
<td align="left">705</td>
<td align="left">142</td>
<td align="left">25.2%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Dave Winer</td>
<td align="left">2652</td>
<td align="left">3299</td>
<td align="left">647</td>
<td align="left">24.4%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Marc Canter</td>
<td align="left">417</td>
<td align="left">512</td>
<td align="left">95</td>
<td align="left">22.8%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Lilia Efimova</td>
<td align="left">744</td>
<td align="left">852</td>
<td align="left">108</td>
<td align="left">14.5%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Mitch Kapor</td>
<td align="left">924</td>
<td align="left">1054</td>
<td align="left">130</td>
<td align="left">14.1%</td>
</tr>

<tr valign="bottom">
<td align="left">Daily Kos</td>
<td align="left">1361</td>
<td align="left">1475</td>
<td align="left">114</td>
<td align="left">8.4%</td>
</tr>
</table>

<br />
<p><b>Update</b>: An hour after I posted this, I've noticed what looks like a correction to the Bloglines subscriber database. Most of the bloggers in the table above have dropped 4-5 subscribers just in the last hour - including myself, as I'm now on 137 (was 141). And e.g. Dina has dropped to 209 (was 214), Paolo 200 (was 205), Lilia 851 (was 857), Seb 704 (was 708). This is all just in the last hour! Hmm, I wonder if Bloglines does semi-regular "cleaning" to remove duplicates and other anomalies?</p>

<p><b>Update 2</b>: Because the Bloglines subscriber database was seemingly cleansed an hour after I published my number-crunching (see Cesar's comment below for the probable explanation), I decided to re-do the numbers today. Most of the people in the 0-1000 range lost 4-5 subscribers, so our percentages have dropped. But interestingly I noticed a few of the political blogs increased, I suppose due to the presidential debates. Anyway, more food for thought...</p>]]>
      
    </content>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35570</id>
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    <title>Comment from Fred on 2004-10-14</title>
    <author>
        <name>Fred</name>
        <uri>http://blog.magenson.de</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.magenson.de">
        <![CDATA[<p>Would be a nice step to also link to their blogs here - how to find them else? ;)</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-15T04:30:37Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35571</id>
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    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/bloglines_subsc.php#c35571" />
    <title>Comment from CÈsar on 2004-10-14</title>
    <author>
        <name>CÈsar</name>
        <uri>http://obm.corcoles.net</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://obm.corcoles.net">
        <![CDATA[<p>About the clean up... A few days ago I started getting new subscriptions from dir, dira, dirb, and dirc, which are gone now. I guess it's happened to evrybody. That would explain losing 4 subscribers.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-15T05:09:10Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35572</id>
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    <title>Comment from kellan on 2004-10-15</title>
    <author>
        <name>kellan</name>
        <uri>http://laughingmeme.org</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://laughingmeme.org">
        <![CDATA[<p>One explanation for Seb and Mark's subscriber totals increasing is the growing number of people who are switching to Bloglines, and bringing a long OPML file with them.  I'd read the increase as largely driven by Bloglines growth.</p>

<p>The numbers seem to suggest that among the readers of Kottke/Dash/Udell/Bray (we'll call them them the web savvy), BL growth is about 30%.</p>

<p>Alternately one could speculate that when someone is posting regularily its easy to check back to look for new content, but once they go radio silent the hold outs are finally forced to figure out this "RSS stuff".</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-15T10:48:21Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35573</id>
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    <title>Comment from Richard MacManus on 2004-10-15</title>
    <author>
        <name>Richard MacManus</name>
        <uri>http://www.readwriteweb.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.readwriteweb.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>Fred - Google their name to find their blogs.</p>

<p>But yeh sorry, I was too lazy to link everybody :-) Besides, I've linked to most of the people on that table before and I'm sure they don't need any extra links from me ;-)</p>

<p>Cesar, you're absolutely right I think. I noticed some of those names before too and they're gone from my subscriber list now. Looks like some person(s) was gaming or just plain experimenting with the Bloglines system.</p>

<p>kellan, those are good theories. I'd be interested in hearing others too.</p>

<p>Also, Cristian points out that Feedburner offers a good service for stats-tracking of feeds. I'm going to check that out. And Lilia has some interesting thoughts too.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-15T16:23:16Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35574</id>
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    <title>Comment from Seb on 2004-10-15</title>
    <author>
        <name>Seb</name>
        <uri>http://seb.notlong.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://seb.notlong.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>Kellan's theory kinda makes sense, except I believe most regular readers of my weblog would have switched to Bloglines before my hiatus. My take-away from this is that people actually stumble upon old content, which is heartening as far as I am concerned.</p>

<p>I recall the first few weeks before my entry into blogging were spent mostly reading stuff that was up to one year old.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-15T17:51:41Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2004://1.4283-comment:35575</id>
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    <title>Comment from Dick Costolo on 2004-10-16</title>
    <author>
        <name>Dick Costolo</name>
        <uri></uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="">
        <![CDATA[<p>Richard, very interested to hear what you think about FeedBurner after you get a chance to check it out. Shoot me an email if you have any questions or would like to know more before you try it. Happy to help!</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2004-10-16T21:33:29Z</published>
  </entry>

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