tag:,2009:/1/tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034- 2009-10-30T14:53:56Z Comments for The Future of the Internet (sounds like my favorite sci fi books and movies) Movable Type 4.23-en tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034 2006-09-25T13:50:45Z 2007-12-16T23:16:21Z The Future of the Internet (sounds like my favorite sci fi books and movies) Pew has released its analysis of how the Internet will evolve over the next 14 or so years (2020). I'm inclined to agree with Om Malik that the conclusions about the technology are rather obvious: "a global, low-cost network will be thriving in 2020", which will bring about a "'flattening' of the world". You... Richard MacManus http://www.readwriteweb.com matrix world

Pew has released its analysis of how the Internet will evolve over the next 14 or so years (2020). I'm inclined to agree with Om Malik that the conclusions about the technology are rather obvious: "a global, low-cost network will be thriving in 2020", which will bring about a "'flattening' of the world". You don't need to be Stanley Kubrick to figure that out.

The part I enjoyed the most was the section labeled: 'Thinking ahead to 2020: Some revealing quotations and predictions from the thousands of answers that were submitted to open-ended questions in the survey.'

I don't know if it was just me, but most of the predictions sounded remarkably like the plots or themes of famous sci-fi books or movies...

Some took inspiration from The Matrix movie...

"The evolution of smart machines: “Fear of enslavement by our creations is an old fear, and a literary tritism. But I fear something worse and much more likely – that sometime after 2020 our machines will become intelligent, evolve rapidly, and end up treating us as pets. We can at least take comfort that there is one worse fate – becoming food – that mercifully is highly unlikely.” – Paul Saffo, forecaster and director of The Institute for the Future"

Others took their cue from 2001: A Space Odyssey...

"“Until testing, bug fixing, user interfaces, usefulness and basic application by subjectmatter experts is given a higher priority than pure programmer skill, we are totally in danger of evolving into an out-of-control situation with autonomous technology.” – Elle Tracy, president of The Results Group"

There was the obligatory William Gibson-inspired Virtual Reality fantasy:

"The allure of virtual reality: “A human's desire is to reinvent himself, live out his fantasies, overindulge; addiction will definitely increase. Whole communities/subcultures, which even today are a growing faction, will materialise. We may see a vast blurring of virtual/real reality with many participants living an in-effect secluded lifestyle. Only in the online world will they participate in any form of human interaction.” – Robert Eller, technology consultant"

Even the boardgame Monopoly was evoked...

"How information disseminates: “Profit motives will impede data flow … Networks will conform to the public utility model, with stakeholders in generation, transmission, and distribution. Companies playing in each piece of the game will enact roadblocks to collect what they see as their fair share of tariff revenue.” – Peter Kim, senior analyst, Forrester Research"

But don't get me wrong, I love reading this stuff! It's just that I usually get my fix of such content from sci-fi books and movies :-)

Pic credit

]]> tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034-comment:39251 Comment from Kevin at TasteTV.com on 2006-09-25 Kevin at TasteTV.com http://www.TasteTV.com We have found that some analysts who predict the future and impact of the Internet are not very far thinking or accurate and others are. For example, Regic McKEnna (sic) was very accurate in his 1997 book, REAL TIME, and when you read it in 2006 it's as relevant and timely as it was 9-10 years ago when he wrote it (from Kevin at TasteTV, http://www.TasteTV.com)

]]> 2006-09-25T15:14:20Z tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034-comment:39252 Comment from Nik Cubrilovic on 2006-09-25 Nik Cubrilovic http://www.nik.com.au "You don't need to be Stanley Kubrick to figure that out."

Funny how he gets the credit for 2001 now :)

]]> 2006-09-25T18:11:22Z tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034-comment:39253 Comment from Mikael Bergkvist on 2006-09-25 Mikael Bergkvist http://www.xinteleport.com The future will look exactly the same.
Boring, but true.
This is 2006, and I remember 1985, when all this was sci-fi.
Nothing is as we thought back then, infact, it's not very different at all from as it where back then.
- We have more toys, that's all.

So my prediction for 2020 is: The same, except even more toys, but the same political mess, same stupid wars, same celebs doing the same stupid things.. and more predictions of a glorious new 2100.
*Sigh*

]]> 2006-09-25T20:50:38Z tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034-comment:39254 Comment from Terry Xu on 2006-09-25 Terry Xu http://kunalu.com/blog Predictions on development of technology were never accurate, many not even close.

From the pure technology perspective (in comparing to social changes), I think all the essential and developing web languages, from html, css to svg, xslt, will keep evolving, to facilitate web-based application development. Browsers should face significant capability improvements too.

Well, there is always so much things people can talk about the future. After all, it's good that there is still space for our imagination to go wild.

]]> 2006-09-25T20:51:57Z tag:72.47.210.69,2006://1.5034-comment:39255 Comment from Richard MacManus on 2006-09-25 Richard MacManus http://readwriteweb.com/ Touche Nik! :-) In my defence I am a huge fan of the movie (2001), but for some reason I've never read the book.

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