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  <id>tag:,2009:/1/tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-</id>
  <updated>2009-10-30T14:41:06Z</updated>
  <title>Comments for Good Things Take Time: New Tech Doesn&apos;t Go Mainstream Overnight</title>
  
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  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405</id>
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    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=1/entry_id=3405" title="Good Things Take Time: New Tech Doesn't Go Mainstream Overnight" />
    <published>2007-12-12T16:02:30Z</published>
    <updated>2007-12-17T08:51:57Z</updated>
    <title>Good Things Take Time: New Tech Doesn&apos;t Go Mainstream Overnight</title>
    <summary>In this post, we look at three examples of innovation that have been around for a while, but are just now hitting the mainstream: Image recognition, touch screens, and speech recognition. We also look at biometrics - a technology which is likely to be next in line to infiltrate our lives. A long time generally...</summary>
    <author>
      <name>Alex Iskold</name>
      <uri>http://www.adaptiveblue.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="Trends" />
    
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      <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.readwriteweb.com/images/lightbulb.jpg" vspace="5" hspace="5" width="200px" align="left">In this post, we look at three examples of innovation that have been around for a while, but are just now hitting the mainstream: Image recognition, touch screens, and speech recognition. We also look at biometrics - a technology which is likely to be next in line to infiltrate our lives.</p>
<p>A long time generally passes between the creation of any successful technology and its wide,  mainstream adoption.
Ideas only evolve into solutions over time. What starts with innovation in startups and research labs
gets refined by larger companies, is simplified and perfected and only years later goes mainstream. My old boss
used to say: "Good things take time," and he was right.
</p>

<p>In this day and age we have been spoiled with innovation. We mistakenly think that it is enough to just think
of an idea and the rest is just technology. Not so. The ideas are just the beginning of a long journey.
It is precisely because the ideas need time to evolve into solutions that we need the <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/the_digestion_phase_how_we_got.php">Digestion Phase</a>.
This is the time when we reflect on innovative ideas and decide how they fit together into the bigger picture. We begin to
iterate on those ideas, shape them, clean them up, and make them ready for prime time.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<h2>Image Recognition</h2>

<p>Next time when you go to a Bank of America ATM you are up for a surprise. The envelopes are gone.
To deposit a check you insert it into an opening. The machine makes a little noise and up on the screen
you see a check. And not only that, but the correct amount has been filled in for you.</p>

<p><img src="http://www.readwriteweb.com/images/atm-machine.jpg" vspace="5" hspace="5"></p>

<p>Even a seasoned techie like myself felt a sense of magic the first time I saw it in action. Sure, I remember taking the image processing
class during my Computer Science masters. I know that you can use variety of techniques ranging from neural nets to
cellular automata-based noise filters to "teach" computers how to recognize images. Yet, to see image recognition
applied on a mass scale by Bank of America is nothing short of a marvel.</p>

<p>I had a bunch of checks with me ranging from printed ones to handwritten ones.
Each time the ATM displayed the correct amount on the image of the check. It didn't make a single mistake.
And the whole process felt like a big improvement: No envelope, no numbers to tally up. Bank of America used
image recognition to simplify customer interactions and to truly raise the bar.</p>

<h2>Touch Screens</h2>

<p>Since the first day I got my iPhone I've been a happy customer. I've written all about why that on is this blog, and in many ways, the iPhone is a ground breaking and game changing technology. But the fact is that
almost six month later, it just works. Everyday I use my fingers to operate its screen and every day
it does what I intend it to do.</p>

<p><img src="http://www.readwriteweb.com/images/iphone-finger.jpg" vspace="5" hspace="5"></p>

<p>What other touch screen technology was ever this flawless? Remember Palm Pilots? They worked okay, but
not nearly as perfectly, particularly when you used fingers instead of the "magic wand" (stylus) that came with it.
The fact is that Apple is the first company that made interactive screens work so well that they could
take it to the mass market and offer a touch screen phone, music player, and web browser in one device.</p>

<p>The simplicity and ease with which the Apple UI responds to our fingers is deceptive. Beneath the surface
there is a sophisticated algorithm that took years to calibrate and perfect. It is like that with many other
Apple technologies - the elegance and correctness are results of the years of a culture of perfecting every detail,
every algorithm.</p>

<h2>Voice Recognition</h2>

<p><img src="http://www.readwriteweb.com/images/steering-wheel.jpg" vspace="5" hspace="5" width="200px" align="left">About ten years ago I got my hands on one of the first releases of voice-to-text software called
<em>Naturally Speaking</em>. I was intrigued by the promise of software that could type my thoughts
as I spoke, secretly hoping that I could dictate C++ code into it. Alas, it worked only about 85% of the time,
which was frustrating enough to make me stop using it. I called up the company and they explained that my accent was harder for the software to understand and that they would be dealing
with foreign accents in future releases.</p>

<p>Fast forward to 2007 and I am getting a tour of my new Acura from  the dealer who just sold it to me.
He explains that Acura has one of the best voice recognition technologies on the market. When I give it
a try, it understands my commands with 100% accuracy. Literally, it never makes mistakes. I even had my 83 year old
grandpa, who speaks English well, but with a much heavier accent than mine, speak commands. Flawless. The car just gets it.</p>

<p>And there is a substantial improvement in voice recognition across the board. Have you noticed that automated
travel agents and customer support reps are not as annoying? This is because they now understand us better.</p>

<h2>Biometrics</h2>

<p><img src="http://www.readwriteweb.com/images/finger-scan.jpg" vspace="5" hspace="5" width="200px" align="left">The next technology which is likely to hit the mainstream is biometrics. The idea behind biometrics is that people can be uniquely identified using a combination of bio markers - fingerprints, shape of the ear, voice,
eye retina, etc. While there are definite privacy and safety concerns, like with many technologies, the benefits
are likely to prevail.</p>

<p>With biometrics in place, plastic will become obsolete. For example, in the same Bank of America ATM you will
be able to use your thumb instead of your bank card. In the supermarket, you will not need a debit card, and in the
department store you will be able to buy things without a credit card. So it would, in fact, be okay to leave home without your Visa.</p>

<h2>Conclusion</h2>

<p>As the title of this article says - good things take time. Early implementations of most technologies
are not stable and not suitable for mainstream use. Individuals, teams, and companies spend time perfecting,
simplifying and polishing new technologies, and finally, after several years and iterations, the innovations hit the mainstream.
Of course, by this time, we have all heard of the technology and take it for granted. We are no longer surprised by the name,
but we are surprised by how well the technology works.</p>

<p>Image recognition, touch screens, and speech recognition have been long considered domains of
Artificial Intelligence. To most of people, all this sounds like magic. But it is not. And it isn't AI either.
These technologies are marvels of modern engineering and human ingenuity. It is our restless drive to innovation
and business incentive that makes it possible to turn abstract ideas into mainstream technology.</p>]]>
    </content>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28045</id>
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    <title>Comment from Endre Jofoldi on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Endre Jofoldi</name>
        <uri>http://www.allplus.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.allplus.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>Part of the process, that the price of the necessary equipments should be low enough to make it available for wider use.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T08:20:21Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28046</id>
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    <title>Comment from Iron Flatline on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Iron Flatline</name>
        <uri>http://www.westernflatline.com/</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.westernflatline.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Amsterdam-Schiphol has a service called Previum (and maybe other airports do too, not sure). I need to depart from that airport twice a week. So I signed up for Previum - I went to their lounge and they scan/read both my irises (the back of my eyes) and do all the passport checks. Now I go straight through a special security line that even jumps ahead of all the first-class travelers. I insert my card, have my eyes scanned, and I'm through. This has cut a good 30 minutes out of my travel time, and allows me to take one commuter flight earlier than before. A little tech that allows me to have dinner at home, instead of at the airport.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T09:07:58Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28047</id>
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    <title>Comment from n on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>n</name>
        <uri></uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="">
        <![CDATA[<p>Awesome. Very nice and inspiring post. Keep it up, your blog is truly insightful!</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T10:32:10Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28048</id>
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    <title>Comment from Martin Grebac on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Martin Grebac</name>
        <uri>http://blogs.sun.com/mgrebac</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blogs.sun.com/mgrebac">
        <![CDATA[<p>Interesting post, I agree that good things take time.</p>

<p>However, comparing the universal speech recognition software with Acura might be a bit more complex than that. Acura only knows several commands, doesn't it? (just guessing, so correct me if I'm wrong). So, it's easier to match. However, you expect the software to be universal - you want to speak your thoughts to it, which means it has to recognize any english words. That is a huge difference.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T10:59:14Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28049</id>
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    <title>Comment from ITrush on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>ITrush</name>
        <uri>http://www.itrush.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.itrush.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>Appreciating what we have right now and using them correctly will surely benefit not just todays generation but also to the upcoming ones. I salute to all the people with outstanding talents. Cheers!</p>

<p>Nhick<br />
<a href="http://www.itrush.com" rel="nofollow"><a href="http://www.itrush.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.itrush.com</a></a></p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T14:25:23Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28050</id>
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    <title>Comment from Doug K. on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Doug K.</name>
        <uri>http://www.podglo.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.podglo.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>I've only tried and iPhone once or twice but now I find myself touching screens, swiping my fingers across them to try to get what I want done to happen.  I am always surprised when nothing happens!  This, in and of itself, expresses the power of what the iPhone interface has accomplished.  I subconsciously have assimilated this interface into my actions and keep trying to use it.  I will say right now this interface will be showing up everywhere.  It is just too compelling.</p>

<p>Doug K.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T14:49:08Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28051</id>
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    <title>Comment from Diego Urdiales on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Diego Urdiales</name>
        <uri>http://islaseislotes.blogspot.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://islaseislotes.blogspot.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>I agree with your point. Note however that the examples you mention all have one key common feature, namely their close ties with the human body. In this field, technological advances are bound to take much longer before becoming mainstream than, say, next generation computer chips - those can become mainstream as soon as a vendor decides to get them on the market (and provided their performance outweighs the increased price, etc).</p>

<p>But the technologies you mention are competing with the human eye, ears and skin, and the standard performance we are used to is tremendously high! That's when lots of fine-tuning, calibrating and user testing needs to be performed after the technology is ready but before it can be adopted by a majority of people.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T15:27:21Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28052</id>
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    <title>Comment from susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info</name>
        <uri>http://susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info">
        <![CDATA[<p><br />
The future is now</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T16:45:10Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28053</id>
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    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/new_technology_good_things_take_time.php#c28053" />
    <title>Comment from susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info</name>
        <uri>http://susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://susangkomenbreastcancerfoundation.info">
        <![CDATA[<p><br />
At a later replaced fingerprint ID</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T16:51:38Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28054</id>
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    <title>Comment from Aidan Henry on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Aidan Henry</name>
        <uri></uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="">
        <![CDATA[<p>Another important factor is infrastructure. If the infrastructure needed to sustain the technology is not present, the technology will fail.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-12T20:38:09Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28055</id>
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    <title>Comment from Bob on 2007-12-12</title>
    <author>
        <name>Bob</name>
        <uri></uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="">
        <![CDATA[<p>RSS services still needs to pop to the top of mainstream adoption for both providers and consumers.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-13T01:25:23Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28056</id>
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    <title>Comment from Future Technologies Converged on 2007-12-13</title>
    <author>
        <name>Future Technologies Converged</name>
        <uri>http://www.futureconverged.com//Home/tabid/204/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/491/Multi-Touch-Displays.aspx</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.futureconverged.com//Home/tabid/204/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/491/Multi-Touch-Displays.aspx">
        <![CDATA[<p>Very good article. It's amazing how we take things for granted when they become mature, though touch, speech and basically Man-machine-Interfaces(MMI) are yet to get mature and we haven't even scratched the surface. A mature technology is like a lamp, a fridge, an oven, microwave. The sort of device that you no longer get amazed by, expect everyone to have and use it as if every one in history always had access to that device. </p>

<p>We are progressing rapidly in MMI, but we have many more years to go before they become mainstream and a natural part of our environment.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-13T09:57:08Z</published>
  </entry>

  <entry>
    <id>tag:72.47.210.69,2007://1.3405-comment:28057</id>
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    <title>Comment from Jacqueline Zenn on 2007-12-13</title>
    <author>
        <name>Jacqueline Zenn</name>
        <uri>http://www.jacquelinezenn.wordpress.com</uri>
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.jacquelinezenn.wordpress.com">
        <![CDATA[<p>Good point #12.  I'll bet that in a couple decades or so (realistically, even in one decade) we'll be probably be looking back at today's new technologies as sort of quaint and antiquated.  </p>

<p>Today's iphone or ipod = tomorrow's atari?</p>

<p>After all, the video games and consoles available today make the Atari and Nintendo* look like relics, so I can only imagine how quickly new tech will overtake the old and we'll wonder how we ever lived without it (non-gamer example - email has only been mainstream for 10-15 years, and yet we all wonder how we lived without it).  </p>

<p>*yes, I am a child of the 80s.</p>]]>
    </content>
    <published>2007-12-13T21:30:13Z</published>
  </entry>

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