In Chongquing, China - the world‚Äôs fastest-growing metropolis - hundreds of small motorcycle firms are using a radical form of collaboration to triple output to 15 million motorbikes per year, which beats their giant Japanese competitors. That story was told in the book ‚ÄúWikinomics, how mass collaboration changes everything‚Ä?. It's is a deeply impressive book, because it relates the flurry of Web 2.0 innovation to real world economics.
The Chinese motorcycle story is not about an online network, but it illustrates a potential for Web 2.0 technologies that goes well beyond today’s relatively simple consumer applications. The motorcycle entrepreneurs build trust through lots of face-to-face time in coffee shops. China has a weak rule of law, making personal relationships even more important.
This is an ‚Äúemergent‚Ä? business network, because there is no centrally defined structure. The structure emerges from lots of little interactions that are designed to solve specific problems. There is no ‚Äúbig Daddy‚Ä? making the rules. These are not markets dominated by say Wal-Mart in retail or Microsoft in PCs.
In the West, these networks can develop online - linking wealthy, sophisticated clients who want a more customized product, with a network of companies who come together to assemble, package and deliver ‚Äújust in time‚Ä?. Think of these networks as a distributed, multi-company version of the supply chain network that made Dell a powerhouse.
The coming wave of Online Emergent Business Networks is the real Enterprise 2.0 story. The impact on a large company from using Blogs, RSS and Wikis is not significant when the real guts of the business is locked into legacy ERP, SCM and CRM systems. These companies were built to deliver mass produced products for mass markets, whereas the coming wave is about personalization and customization. A couple of Blogs and Wikis won’t make that transformation happen!
These demanding but wealthy customers want something unique; a custom motorbike, grass fed beef from a farm near their weekend home, custom fit designer clothes, a self-published book of family memoirs, a leading edge solution to a relatively obscure healthcare problem. These kinds of products and services require a massive re-wiring of the current mass-market way of delivering products and services.
Food is one case where the transition to a new, more dynamic supply chain is critical. Reading Fast Food Nation will show that this is an urgent healthcare issue, not just a matter of consumer taste. However as this pioneering local food Diner in Vermont discovered, the supply chain is a massive obstacle.
The current Fortune 500 incumbents will not build these emergent business networks; they are threatened by them. Nor is it likely to be built by the few giant ERP vendors left who cater to those companies. So this sounds like a gap that startups can fill.
The technical platform to enable these emergent business networks is non-trivial. It will need enterprise-scale technology for complex transactions that have to be 100% correct and secure. Plus everything has to be real time; this is the kind of technology that powers the capital markets today.
However, the word ‚Äúemergent‚Ä? is not one you associate with ERP or banking systems today. We are more likely to think of rigid, monolithic, spaghetti code - chaotic and fragile. These new platforms will need to be much, much more adaptable.
Key elements of the required platform will be:
1. Some elements from social networking, enabling market participants to describe themselves and link to trusted partners.
2. Adaptive personalization for consumers, enabling them to see the network through the prism of their specialized interests.
3. Systems for rating all marketing participants, which avoid ratings spam with authentication.
4. Systems for aggregating many small orders for lots of small producers, via one or more service providers, and arranging delivery just in time.
5. Wireless user interfaces for people who don’t "live on their PC", but who are out and about doing work.
6. Above all, all market participants need access to a common data pool. Even if some data is private, the meta-tags/model must be consistent. It must also be able to evolve as the network evolves.
7. A model based framework where business analysts can make changes to the business logic; and which creates the code (MDA and so on).
The business model for a system like this has to be transaction fees, as no big company plans to spend millions of dollars ripping out their ERP/banking systems any time soon. So the build has to be VC funded. It will be built on a mix of open source tools, industry standard XML models, open APIs and logical models.
These emergent business networks will evolve first where most of the following conditions exist:
1. A wealthy and discriminating consumer that wants that ‚Äúlittle extra special something‚Ä?. The new money that comes into the network from catering to their extra needs is the fuel that enables the network to grow, without any zero sum disintermediation.
2. Inventory has to be “fresh”; food for example, or even fashion.
3. Manufacturing is light and/or lots of it can be automated. This makes it possible to have production close to the consumer (not half way around the world), so can be delivered very quickly.
4. A network of specialist sub-contractors and service providers.
Let us know your thoughts on this - is this what you want to see in Enterprise 2.0? What other opportunities are there for startups?
Motorbike pic by chrisdrum
Comments
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Wow... great article Bernard... you have beautifully put into words something i've been trying to get my head around for a while. You, my boy, are a genius
Posted by: david | September 26, 2007 2:27 AM
Posted by: Eyal Harofe | September 26, 2007 4:13 AMI'm now creating a "web2.0 school" that sounds allot like your description. Thanks for the affirmation.
THis story decribes the web 2.0 as solving little problems. I feel this is the start of another giant websoft,the websoft will connect all the little ones together sooner or later.
Posted by: Norman | September 26, 2007 6:09 AMI basically love the article, but suggest these improvements:
Posted by: Bob Haugen | September 26, 2007 6:51 AM* It's not "enterprise-scale technology", it's internet-scale. Different requirements, including loose coupling. Different ideas about how to provide transactional integrity.
* The technology can and most likely will be developed by the same kind of emergent business networks: loosely-coupled open-source collaborators.
* The appropriate logical model is called REA (Resources, Events and Agents): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resources,_Events,_Agents
http://www.aisvillage.com/rea25/haugen/beyondtheenterprise.html
A very useful and thought-provoking article. No idea what "without any zero sum disintermediation." means and would be grateful for an explanation!
Posted by: Michael fitzGerald | September 26, 2007 8:28 AMThanks all.
# 4, yes Internet-scale is better and loose-coupled is a must. I will look up those links they sound interesting
# 5, here is what I meant by "without any zero sum disintermediation." Back in the Web 1.0 era a lot of ventures tried doing B2B sites that cut out the middleman (wholesaler, disttributer, retailer, etc). This went by the ugly word "disintermediation". It was zero sum in that the new venture could only make money by cutting out the middleman, who naturally fought back with the real power they had in the real world and a lot of theser ventures failed.
Posted by: bernard lunn | September 26, 2007 8:41 AMGlad I found this article. Nicely done. I think it's bought on a warm collaborative-type glow! ;-)
Posted by: Lindy Asimus | September 26, 2007 9:10 AM# 4. I checked out REA and it certainly resonated with me. There is a massive disconnect between how small business owners/managers actually think about their business and the weird artificial constructs of the accounting profession (which seem to come from Victorian England). I plan to study this some more. This is exactly the kind of thing that I wanted to happen with these posts and why I think RWW is a unique medium in the tech world today.
Posted by: bernard lunn | September 26, 2007 10:26 AMAfter reading the article, I noticed that federated identity was not mentioned. It will be very important for Enterprise 2.0 to be able to track customers in a centralized way. I agree on the point about the value of reputation in any authentication system. However, across the boundaries of Wikis, Blogs, Discussion Boards, and Social Networks customers need to be able to travel with their identity. Companies need to be able to integrate all those touch points with customers into CRM and ERP.
Posted by: Chris Clark | September 26, 2007 10:52 AMGreat analysis. I picked you for today's Overheard in the Blogosphere quote.
Posted by: Margaret Rouse | September 27, 2007 5:26 AMhttp://itknowledgeexchange.techtarget.com/overheard/overheard-enterprise-20/
Great article and truely explains where we are in this age in the business environment.
Posted by: JobDescription.ning.com | September 27, 2007 11:38 AMI love your comments about the real Enterprise 2.0 and the future platforms for Enterprise 2.0. I agree with you, and think you are correct about Business involvement and commintment.
Posted by: Kevin Mullins | October 6, 2007 8:44 PM