trends - ReadWriteWeb http://www.readwriteweb.com/feeds/search/trends en Copyright 2009 Richard MacManus readwriteweb@gmail.com Sat, 21 Nov 2009 05:00:00 -0800 http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/?v=4.23-en http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Google Trends for Websites Sucks for Small Blogs Recently, Google Trends added an update to the service and extended its functionality to websites with Google Trends for Websites. Google Trends gives recommendations on popular trends occurring on the web today. Now anyone with a website can find out popular trends about their website, except for the small guys.

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Google Trends for Websites is yet another traffic tracker for sites. It's in a field already dominated by Compete, Quantcast (for US traffic), and Alexa. So what could it possibly offer to users that we don't already have? This is Google we're talking about and Google has a significant amount of data about a ton of websites. For example, in our recent poll of Instant Messengers that ReadWriteWeb readers use here's how the websites IM clients Digsby, Trillian, Pidgin, Miranda IM, and Adium stack up against one another using Google Trends for Websites:

You'll receive a graph of traffic stats along with stats on the region of most visitors, related sites that visitors visited, and even other search terms if there are any. In contrast, Google Trends for keywords will show related searches, how popular the keyword is, peak time, news articles and blog posts mentioning the keyword.

The Little Guys Are Left In The Dust Again

If your blog or website doesn't receive a lot of traffic, you're better off sticking to trackers such as the Google Analytics service. Google Trends for Websites won't have any data for such sites, which is a shame considering the smaller bloggers may be the biggest users of the product. Personally, I don't see the use for Google Trends for Websites compared to other tools that are out there that offer the same information and more. Blogs already receive the information that Google is giving via their own statistics software with a lot more flexibility and options to choose from. In the end, Google Trends for Websites seems like a bit of a dud and the name should be changed to Google Trends for Popular Websites.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_trends_for_websites_sucks_for_small_blogs.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_trends_for_websites_sucks_for_small_blogs.php Google Sun, 22 Jun 2008 11:04:15 -0800 Corvida
Meta 2008 Web Trends The excellent Trendsspotting blog has compiled a meta list of 2008 Web trends, by selecting "a group of 10 web/tech influencers suggesting their trends forecast for 2008." ReadWriteWeb is one of the 10 influencers selected - using our 10 Future Web Trends post as our contribution. But see also 10 More Future Web Trends and our 2008 Web Predictions post for more RWW trends.

Below is Trendsspotting's image from our post, which neatly displays our picks:

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Note that all the RWW authors contributed to the 10 Future Web Trends post, so they weren't just my ideas.

Trendsspotting came up with a tag cloud that combines the keywords from all of the 10 influencers:

It's very high level, but you can see that mobile, open, video, green, social, and networks are among the most popular tags.

Here is the full report, well worth a browse:

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/meta_2008_web_trends.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/meta_2008_web_trends.php Trends Sun, 27 Jan 2008 16:00:00 -0800 Richard MacManus
Web Technology Trends for 2008 and Beyond Today I gave a presentation at the Media08 event in Sydney, entitled: What's Next on the Web? Web Technology Trends for 2008 and Beyond. It's an overview of some of the top trends we cover on ReadWriteWeb; such as Websites becoming web services, Semantic Apps, Open Data, Mobile Web, Recommendation Engines. The presentation is available as a slideshow (embedded below). Each slide has links to ReadWriteWeb content, should you wish to drill down on a topic more.

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]]> Let us know your feedback / suggestions in the comments - I will continue to add to and tweak this presentation as these Web trends evolve. The Media08 event was run by X|Media|Lab.

Note: click here and then click 'full' (bottom right) to view full screen and enable the links inside the presentation.

UPDATE: There is an newer version of this presentation here.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/web_technology_trends_for_2008.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/web_technology_trends_for_2008.php Trends Fri, 07 Mar 2008 05:10:46 -0800 Richard MacManus
Trackur Version 2 Launches, Adds Trackur Trends Trackur is a tool for monitoring your online reputation that scours blogs, news sites, images, and videos so you can track buzz about your name, company brands, industry trends, products, or news about your competitor. The service continually monitors nearly all of social media, including blogs, videos, images, bookmarks, and even Twitter. (See our coverage) Today, Trackur is announcing a new version of their service that brings with it a new trending reports feature called Trackur Trends. Similar to Google Trends or Technorati's charts, Trackur Trends also provides a trend-watching service, but one that is personalized just for you.

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]]> The new Trackur Trends service adds reports for the keywords you are monitoring via Trackur. Available with only a click from the Trackur dashboard, you can keep your eye on the level of conversations around your keywords or search phrases. If you click on the chart from the dashboard, you will then see a larger version of that chart that you are able to manipulate as you choose. From this page, you can edit the chart's timeline to display 10 days, 20 days, 30 days, 3 months, or 6 months.

Trackur Trends

Unlike a larger service like Google Trends, for example, which only displays trends that are massive enough to cause a spike in overall search volume, Trackur Trends can regularly search for any keywords or phrase you choose, no matter how small or how rare it is that they are mentioned. You can also add filters to your search to help narrow down your results even further.

However, this new addition does not affect the price for the Trackur service - in fact, the price has now been lowered. The new pricing model actually makes it more affordable for everyone, but becomes especially appealing to the SMB market. Before, at $88/month, we wondered if Trackur did enough to make the service worth it, but today, Trackur's Standard service is available for only $18/month, so the answer to that earlier question is now "YES." (Note: the Enterprise version of the service changed to $188-197/month.)

If you're interested in using Trackur for your trend tracking needs, ReadWriteWeb has 5 free, 6-month Standard subscriptions to give away - just comment below with your information.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/trackur_version_2_launches.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/trackur_version_2_launches.php Products Mon, 02 Jun 2008 09:07:40 -0800 Sarah Perez
Google Releases Experimental Flu Trends for Mexico google_org_logo_apr09.pngGoogle just launched an experimental version of Flu Trends that focuses only on the current flu outbreak in Mexico. Google Flu Trends, which was launched last November, tracks and maps flu-related search queries to predict how many people in a given region actually have the flu. Google stresses that Flu Trends for Mexico is only an experimental product, and that it tries to distinguish between topical searches about the flu and searches by users who may actual experience flu symptoms. Given the current interest in the swine flu, a lot of users are obviously looking for general information about it, which could easily skew Google's algorithms.

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]]> We already know that Google Flu Trends is indeed a decent indicator for tracking the flu, so it will be interesting to see if Google's data also works for this current outbreak in Mexico. In the U.S. Google was able to validate its estimates using data from the CDC about actual flu trends and according to some estimates, Flu Trends registers these trends up to two weeks faster than the conventional reports published by the CDC.

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For the current epidemic in Mexico, though, Google obviously hasn't had time to validate its data against official data from Mexican authorities, but given the current interest in the topic, Google decided to go ahead and release this as an experimental product.

It would be interesting to see if Facebook could do something similar with Facebook Lexicon, though for now, Facebook only allows users to use this tool to perform relatively general queries.

Update: looks like Facebook actually posted some data about the swine flu today.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_flu_trends_now_tracks_flu_outbreak_in_mexico.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_flu_trends_now_tracks_flu_outbreak_in_mexico.php News Wed, 29 Apr 2009 11:05:05 -0800 Frederic Lardinois
Will Gmail Get Google Reader-Like Trends? If you're a Google Reader user, no doubt you've taken a look at your Google Reader trends. The trends feature of Reader is an invaluable service that shows you which feeds you read, share, star, and email. It also provides stats on your subscriptions themselves, showing which ones are frequently updated, inactive, or the most obscure. Bar charts show items read by day, time of day, and time of week, and a tag cloud lets you find items by keyword. With all this data within easy reach, Google Reader Trends provides insight into your feed reading habits which you can then use help you to improve your feeding reading activities as well as the way you categorize your feeds and more.

But Google Reader isn't the only web app that could use a feature like this. If we could pick any other Google service to provide an analysis of our habits, it would certainly be Gmail. But could it be that Trends for Gmail is already underway?

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A recent post by Ed Kohler pointed us to a project under development for this very purpose. The project, called simply "Mail Trends," was mentioned on Mihai Parparita's personal blog back in March. (Parparita is a Google employee who had helped to build Google Reader itself.) Since Gmail doesn't have an official API, Mail Trends instead uses Gmail's IMAP support to pull the message headers and analyze them in order to extrapolate the data. Mail Trends can generate tables, graphs and distributions based on time of day, senders, recipients, mailing lists, etc. You can see an example of what it can output here where Parparita ran it on a piece of the Enron Email Dataset.

The project, currently hosted at Google Code, offers the code available for download, but, unfortunately to run it over your own email, you have to do geeky programmer things like downloading something called Cheetah and mess around with a command prompt. There is not an executable file for either Mac or PC. (Lifehacker has a step-by-step guide to installation if you want to go this route, though).

We Need Mail Trends!

Outlook users already have an add-in called Xobni (our coverage) which provides a look at email trends among other things, so why not Gmail?

Although Mail Trends is clearly a personal project, we wonder if there's any chance of seeing it show up one day in Gmail's Labs section. Labs, the area under Gmail's Settings that introduces experimental features seems the ideal place to debut the trends technology...at least until it's perfected.

We contacted Parparita to see if there was any chance of that ever happening, but he never responded.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/will_gmail_get_google_reader-like_trends.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/will_gmail_get_google_reader-like_trends.php Products Fri, 22 Aug 2008 06:30:00 -0800 Sarah Perez
Facebook Lexicon Launches - Google Trends for Facebook Facebook has just launched a neat new trend mapping tool, called Lexicon. Similar to Google Trends, it allows you to create a trend graph for different words and (two-word) phrases on Facebook Walls. It has a surprisingly slick UI too, with the scroll bar enabling you to zoom in and out to get different views of the trend line. You can compare up to 5 different trends by separating words/phrases with a comma.

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]]> Although Lexicon compares favorably to Google Trends, it has some flaws. In our tests it had trouble with low frequency words (like "semantic") and also it choked on "web 2.0" ("Invalid term: web 2.0. Check that each term is a single word or two-word phrase, and that each term uses only alphanumeric characters"). Also, to compare apples to apples, Google Trends has a wider range of data - including breakdowns by region, city and language.

Here is an example of Lexicon:

...and a comparable trend map from Google Trends:

In announcing this new service, Facebook was careful to emphasize that no privacy violations have occured:

"We have a cluster of computers that count the number of occurrences of every term (for example, "juno") across profile, group and event Walls every day. The system strips out all personally identifiable information so that there is no way to track a mention back to a specific person. No human at Facebook ever reads these Wall posts, and Lexicon does not look at personal messages, invitations, or any other private user-to-user communications."

Overall, it's good to see Facebook mining some of the vast data that they have - but not stepping on sensitive privacy toes while doing so.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/facebook_lexicon.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/facebook_lexicon.php Products Tue, 15 Apr 2008 14:53:54 -0800 Richard MacManus
Web Technology Trends for 2008 and Beyond: Update Today I gave a presentation at the XMediaLab event in Wellington New Zealand, entitled: What's Next on the Web? Web Technology Trends for 2008 and Beyond. It was an update of a presentation I gave in Sydney in March. It covers some of the top trends we track on ReadWriteWeb; such as Websites becoming web services, Semantic Apps, Open Data, Mobile Web, Recommendation Engines.

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]]> The presentation is available as a slideshow on Slideshare (embedded below) and can be downloaded too. Each slide has links to ReadWriteWeb content, should you wish to drill down on a topic more.

Let us know your feedback / suggestions in the comments - I will continue to add to and tweak this presentation as these Web trends evolve. Alert readers will notice one new slide, page 9 about The Social Networking Arms Race.

Note: click here and then click 'full' (bottom right) to view full screen and enable the links inside the presentation.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/web_technology_trends_for_2008_1.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/web_technology_trends_for_2008_1.php Analysis Thu, 29 May 2008 21:23:05 -0800 Richard MacManus
Twitter Begins Rolling Out Search and Trends twitter_logo_Jan_09.pngTwitter appears to be in the process of rolling out its integrated search feature, with a search box and a trends button appearing on some user profiles today. While the feature is not yet available to all users, our guess is that it's very much on the way - and soon.

The trends tab offers a drop down list of top ten trending topics (Chris Brown being the current most discussed topic), and the search box allows you to search in real time on any topic. Refresh your screen to see if you have the option yet, or take a look at our screen shots below.

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Search for ReadWriteWeb:

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The new search feature is something we've all been eagerly awaiting, especially since Twitter's announcement last month; clearly they've now "kicked the tires" enough and it's ready for the world.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/twitter_begins_rolling_out_search_and_trends.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/twitter_begins_rolling_out_search_and_trends.php Twitter Thu, 05 Mar 2009 15:54:04 -0800 Lidija Davis
Google Gets Trendy Google today launched an improvement to their Trends service, Hot Trends, which lists the top 100 break out searches of each day. These are not the top searches, but the ones that deviate the most from their normal search pattern.

Clicking on a trend leads to a page that includes news, blogs, and web searches in an attempt to explain why that search term might be as popular as it is. For example, today "bubonic plague" checks in at #70 because yesterday's news story about a capuchin monkey at the Denver Zoo dying of the disease. The results are, of course, not always perfect.

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For example, this week's XM radio outage story takes up six different spots on today's Hot Trends list. It would probably be more useful if Google's algorithm attempted to group related searches into a single topic (or at least gave that option). Also, as Duncan Riley of Techcrunch points out, the very odd term"legless chihuahua" appeared in two spots on yesterday's trends list (though apparently spurred by a news story about, you guessed it, legless chihuahuas that made its way across the wires over the weekend).

Other oddities appear across today's list. The #14 search, for example, is "2004 world series champs" -- which, as an Ameican baseball fan like myself knows, is the Boston Red Sox, but the trends page for that term shows no recent news or blog posts that would have caused that specific search rather than the more common search for the team's actual name. Further, the searches appear to be coming out of Houston, Texas and Louisville, Kentucky, hardly bastions of Red Sox fandom. And why that would out rank #19 "whosarat.com" which was featured in a front page New York Times article this morning and widely reported across political blogs, is something of a mystery to me.

Google's Hot Trends is essentially like Yahoo!'s list of "Buzz Index Movers" which lists the day's top search gainers. Though Yahoo!'s list doesn't give as much information as Google's, it appears to have less peculiar listings upon first glance. That is perhaps because it is edited by humans. Strangely, there seems to be little overlap between the two lists.

Hot Trends could, of course, be very useful for Internet marketers and researchers studying how information flows and spreads across the web. It would be great if Google would offer API access to the service, especially with an expanded data set that included more frequent updates and a largest list of terms.

The search term "chihuahua puppies," of the legged variety, appear's on Yahoo's list of top decliners today, down 97%. Maybe Paris Hilton switched search engines overnight.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_hot_trends.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_hot_trends.php News Tue, 22 May 2007 10:18:17 -0800 Josh Catone
Google on Election Day: People Are Voting for Free Chicken and Ice Cream The official Google blog just posted some interesting data about hot search trends early in election day and while there are a lot of important questions being asked by millions of people - several of the hottest queries are about getting free chicken, ice cream and coffee as a reward for voting.

Starbucks, Chikfila and Ben and Jerry's are all doing election-day giveaways and apparently those are among Americans' top priorities. Let's keep that in mind when the press reports on record turnout!

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]]> There are a lot of serious questions being asked about exit polls, when the results will be known, how the electoral college works and how to confirm that you'll be able to vote. Google also disclosed the hottest search trends over the last few months of election season, though, and we couldn't help but marvel that Tina Fey is the 4th most searched-for "political personality." She even beat out Joe Biden.

Last month during the Presidential debates we wrote about the way that Google is changing political elections unlike anything else ever has. The ability to fact check, research in depth and learn more quickly about topics on the fly, during Presidential debates, is really world-changing.

Sometimes it's good to zoom out a bit, though, and remind ourselves on this huge day in history: what the people want is chicken, ice cream and coffee. You can see the full list of today's fastest rising search queries here.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_on_election_day_people.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_on_election_day_people.php NYT Tue, 04 Nov 2008 09:34:16 -0800 Marshall Kirkpatrick
Kayak Opens Access to River of Travel Search Data kayak_logo_oct09.jpgTravel comparison site Kayak just opened access to its search data. Best known for aggregating travel deals on roundtrip flights, hotels and rental cars, Kayak is now offering the public a peek under the hood. The company is laying bare its most popular destinations and searches via a new trends page. The site offers users a look at what people are searching for, where they're searching from and the most searched hotels in the company's top 50 most popular cities. With the travel industry slowly recovering from what has been a tough two years, this data can go a long way towards reinvigorating businesses.

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]]> In addition to the most popular searches and destinations, Kayak is also offering users a look at the Kayak Travel Index. The data from the Index tells users how much the average traveler is willing to spend to visit a particular destination. While economic stability would affect many of these trends, short spikes are often more likely related to peak season rates and seasonal factors. For example, in mid July travelers were willing to pay 25% more for a trip to Seattle, but since then as the weather cools so does the willingness to spend. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Travel Index shows a completely different set of travel spikes.

seattle_kayak_oct09.jpgWith information from 404 travel sites including Expedia, Travelocity and Orbitz, and information on more than 150,000 hotels, Kayak trends offers a great snapshot into the demographics of a destination's most frequent visitors.

Says CTO Paul English, "People have conducted hundreds of millions of travel searches on KAYAK in the past year, generating a tremendous amount of data on travel demand trends. We're happy to make this information available to the travel press and to the general public."

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/kayak_opens_access_to_river_of_travel_search_data.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/kayak_opens_access_to_river_of_travel_search_data.php Trends Thu, 08 Oct 2009 14:49:01 -0800 Dana Oshiro
My Digital Web Magazine article My article for Digital Web Magazine, The Evolution of Corporate Websites, has now been published. It's a high-level look at web design trends over the past 10 years. Here's the introductory paragraph:

Hard to believe, but corporate Web sites have been around for over 10 years now. It’s fascinating to see how they have evolved over the years, from the early days of magazine-style brochureware to the most recent trends of two-way Web interfaces.
Continue reading at Digital Web Magazine...

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/my_digital_web.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/my_digital_web.php Writing Sat, 01 May 2004 20:31:06 -0800 Richard MacManus
Maybe Twitter Trends Shouldn't Be Entirely Automated? Over the weekend, Twitter's trending topics were once again the target of an attack, this time implemented by the members of the infamous image board 4chan, the site known for their internet memes and pranks. As with previous attempts to pollute the trends with nonsense, the hashtag pushed into the leaderboard was yet another inappropriate term. Last time this happened, we saw Twitter pull the offensive tags from the trends section, a move which prompted us to cheer: Twitter censoring trending topics? Isn't it about time?  Again, it seems the company has pulled the same move. By the time tech blogs picked up the story, the term had disappeared completely from the trends section.

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]]> But maybe "trends" like this have no business ever making "trend" status at all. We have to wonder if censorship after the fact is going to be good enough for Twitter going forward. As Twitter continues to grow, more and more people will want to get their keyword or hashtag featured in this popular section of the Twitter Search site. Perhaps Twitter should consider putting a human editor in charge of weeding through the supposed trends before they get posted.

Twitter Censoring Trends: Is it Enough?

At the end of the day, we agree with Twitter's decision to pull the obviously forced hashtag from the trends section just as they did the last time a bunch of folks thought they would have some fun by tweeting other offensive words and phrases. But these incidents have made us wonder: has Twitter trends outlived its ability to function properly as an entirely algorithm-based service? Given how many people rely on Twitter trends to track hot topics and breaking news, the section will be under constant attack from those who want to use the algorithm for their own purposes...and not necessarily good ones.

In some cases, like the latest 4chan move, the term-made-trend will be a somewhat offensive, but ultimately harmless prank. In other cases, the trends will be courtesy of some marketer pushing their hashtag up through the ranks thanks to their latest "tweet-to-win" contest. But do either of these cases represent an organic news-based trend that deserves the spotlight? Perhaps not.

Although censorship isn't something that most people would normally support, in these cases it would feel less like censorship than it would a simple act of filtering. It's easy to see that "trends" like these aren't really the sort of trends that the section was meant to highlight. However, by letting the algorithm do all the work, everyone with an evil plan to get their hashtag into the leaderboard has a shot at 15 minutes of fame. And on the real-time web, that's an eternity.

If, on the other hand, Twitter started pre-filtering the trends for relevance, there would long be a reason for hoaxsters, pranksters, and other trend-hogging marketers to attempt to game the system. Just by putting a human editor in charge of Twitter trends, "fake trends" like these could easily be avoided. Even if the company didn't want to go with full-on censorship, they could at the very least move the "other" trends off the main page by adding a link that said "More..."

Filtered Trends Could Delay Breaking News

But the drawback to a human-filtered trends section could be a delay in seeing breaking news make trend status - and that would be a disaster for a service that's all about immediacy. For some people, even the threat of a delay such as this would probably have them saying, "forget censorship and filtering - I want real-time trends, legit or not!"

But to those people, we ask: what about when Twitter becomes so uber-popular that the real-time trends section you crave becomes filled with junk trends thanks to internet memes and marketers' messages? Will you still prefer it then?

We're not sure if a human editor is the right solution for Twitter, but one day soon, something will have to be done. One commenter on a previous post mentioned some other ideas for filtering trends and hashtag spam, including having users tweet "#spam=hashtag" and suggesting Twitter adds a feature which would let us block hashtags from our streams. Another commenter suggested Outlook-like rules for hiding certain hashtags. If you have any ideas of your own about what Twitter should do, feel free to share them in the comments.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/maybe_twitter_trends_shouldnt_be_entirely_automated.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/maybe_twitter_trends_shouldnt_be_entirely_automated.php Twitter Mon, 06 Jul 2009 07:49:26 -0800 Sarah Perez
Buzzwords of Web 2.0: RSS Down, Microblogging Up web20_beta_logo.pngLike every other innovative industry before it, Web 2.0, too, has developed its own language. Our friends over at the Royal Pingdom blog took a close look at the buzzwords around Web 2.0 today and found some interesting trends. Using Google Trends as the basis for their research, Pingdom, for example, concludes that searches for term 'Web 2.0' peaked in 2007 and have been decreasing every since. Some of the main terms of the Web 2.0 world like 'RSS,' or 'cloud computing' have also been on a steady downward trajectory, while 'blogging' is still holding steady.

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]]> On the other hand, terms related to social activities on the net like 'social media,' 'social network,' or 'microblogging' (thanks to Twitter) have seen a steady rise in searches over the last few years.

web20_buzzwords.png

'Web 3.0,' however, seems to have peaked as a term to describe the next wave of Internet innovation before it even had a chance to happen.

For a the full list of Web 2.0 buzzwords, head over to the Royal Pingdom blog.

Conclusions?

We wouldn't want to draw too many conclusions from this list, as it is based on search terms, and as users get more familiar with these and start bookmarking their favorite sites, they will probably start using search less. Also, as these terms become household names, fewer users will look them up on Google.

In some ways then, we might be able to interpret the decline of searches for 'RSS' or 'cloud computing' as a positive thing, as users have replaced searches for these general terms with more specific queries.

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http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/the_buzzwords_of_web_20.php http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/the_buzzwords_of_web_20.php News Thu, 08 Jan 2009 11:15:48 -0800 Frederic Lardinois